Friday 1 May 2020

Forecasting s-curves is hard by @clcrozier via @wordpressdotcom

Many things that we think of as exponential functions will actually follow an s-curve. COVID-19 cases, for instance, will eventually become an s-curve because otherwise, the system would reach infinity. This is a short and clear post that shows why s-curves are so hard to model.

I really enjoyed this short blog entry which makes a lot of sense. I'm sure we can all agree with Constance's observations.

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